Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 78.197124 87.680623 97.394074 108.056250 119.400764 131.082096 143.990646
2025-01-19 61.557282 74.913140 89.237329 105.617270 123.708756 142.968110 164.910016
2025-01-26 55.032559 70.946258 88.560867 109.250053 132.643355 158.053834 187.525737
2025-02-02 49.572541 67.320139 87.520415 111.795286 139.781811 170.680818 207.028571
2025-02-09 43.207549 61.909215 83.804062 110.710563 142.311074 177.733753 219.944953
2025-02-16 37.867339 57.193536 80.442354 109.615614 144.460928 184.053131 231.770626
2025-02-23 34.274635 54.301475 78.982471 110.517255 148.724153 192.626714 246.032394
2025-03-02 30.692100 51.097282 76.871307 110.397695 151.584181 199.421971 258.126620
2025-03-09 27.888453 48.675984 75.544916 111.070972 155.258115 207.069622 271.137573
2025-03-16 24.638438 45.367329 72.855451 109.848576 156.470135 211.681122 280.494301
2025-03-23 22.826564 43.926164 72.491784 111.475494 161.110071 220.337434 294.600038
2025-03-30 21.338129 42.826142 72.489122 113.493228 166.185322 229.490539 309.289858
2025-04-06 18.875708 40.104753 70.178090 112.447949 167.412363 234.017694 318.538422
2025-04-13 16.184093 36.782351 66.847464 109.903985 166.625069 236.004271 324.678565
2025-04-20 15.629271 36.814954 68.222664 113.632361 173.845162 247.837357 342.741854
2025-04-27 14.799655 36.320382 68.791296 116.237939 179.604996 257.868183 358.636132
2025-05-04 13.037948 34.088884 66.709000 115.127272 180.473780 261.774703 367.031881
2025-05-11 11.445279 31.983471 64.691107 114.005835 181.251472 265.512198 375.181666
2025-05-18 10.479973 30.914296 64.171795 114.929278 184.690097 272.574704 387.418507
2025-05-25 9.366338 29.446861 62.957469 114.806831 186.695437 277.799755 397.372451
2025-06-01 8.518252 28.402200 62.343015 115.496346 189.756872 284.350149 408.968157
2025-06-08 7.371274 26.608893 60.437818 114.244439 190.146897 287.454757 416.249363
2025-06-15 6.853344 26.079588 60.546860 115.910605 194.482715 295.615370 429.858788